Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McLeod wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Nosek 53.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 64.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 87.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 82.6%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
McLeod
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
McLeod
Nosek
Last 10: McLeod 7-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
1
McLeod
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
1
McLeod
Nosek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
McLeod
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
54.9% (2,674)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
44.7% (47)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
47.4% (424)
+6.1%
On power play, McLeod has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
McLeod shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
McLeod
Nosek
Home
58.2% (1,647)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
McLeod
Nosek
P1
58.7%
52.3%
P2
59.9%
54.0%
P3
56.3%
54.6%
OT
63.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |