Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 47.8% vs Carrick 53.8% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 72.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 51.4%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 55.7%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Rasmussen
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Rasmussen
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Rasmussen
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
0
Rasmussen
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (248)
55.1% (439)
-8.3%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
66.7% (3)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
49.1% (53)
-5.3%
On even strength, Carrick has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Rasmussen is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Rasmussen shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Carrick
Home
50.0% (98)
58.2% (225)
Away
45.4% (174)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Rasmussen
Carrick
P1
40.2%
56.7%
P2
55.8%
52.8%
P3
43.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
47.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |