Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Rasmussen wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 49.1% vs Carrick 53.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 56.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 88.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 70.2%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Rasmussen
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rasmussen
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
0
Rasmussen
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (108)
53.9% (521)
-5.8%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
57.1% (35)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
51.5% (229)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Rasmussen is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Rasmussen shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Carrick
Home
50.8% (63)
52.7% (408)
Away
45.6% (57)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Rasmussen
Carrick
P1
48.8%
51.4%
P2
48.9%
56.6%
P3
45.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
57.7%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |