Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rasmussen wins 33.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 47.6% vs Carrick 53.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 90.3%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 62.4%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 75.9%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Rasmussen
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Rasmussen
Carrick
Last 6: Rasmussen 1-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
0
Rasmussen
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
5
Rasmussen
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (184)
53.8% (654)
-6.5%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
0.0% (2)
+44.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
63.9% (36)
-63.9%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +63.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Rasmussen is 33.8% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Rasmussen shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Carrick
Home
42.3% (104)
50.0% (328)
Away
51.1% (92)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Rasmussen
Carrick
P1
47.2%
56.7%
P2
42.9%
51.1%
P3
49.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
40.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |