Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.4%). Look for Rasmussen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Rasmussen wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 50.1% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 64.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 68.1%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 53.5%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Last 10: Rasmussen 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Rasmussen
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Rasmussen
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
4
2
Rasmussen
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (681)
52.3% (982)
-2.2%
Power Play
63.5% (63)
41.9% (43)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (75)
39.2% (245)
-0.5%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Rasmussen shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Home
50.6% (423)
50.3% (680)
Away
49.5% (396)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Rasmussen
Kuraly
P1
50.4%
49.5%
P2
53.8%
49.6%
P3
46.5%
49.0%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |