Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 50.8% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 80.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.9%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 52.6%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Last 8: Rasmussen 2-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rasmussen
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Rasmussen
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Rasmussen
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (333)
49.2% (901)
+1.6%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
68.2% (22)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (37)
49.8% (219)
-3.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rasmussen is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Rasmussen shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Home
51.4% (212)
51.7% (603)
Away
50.5% (186)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Rasmussen
Kuraly
P1
54.5%
50.9%
P2
43.4%
49.5%
P3
54.2%
49.1%
OT
75.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
51.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |