Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 52.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 68.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 60.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Henrique
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Henrique
Zibanejad
Last 8: Henrique 3-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Henrique
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Henrique
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
54.0% (955)
+0.4%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
55.6% (243)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
35.0% (140)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zibanejad
Home
55.3% (237)
55.2% (656)
Away
55.8% (260)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Henrique
Zibanejad
P1
53.5%
56.3%
P2
64.8%
50.0%
P3
47.3%
51.2%
OT
58.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |