Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 50.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 57.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Howden
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Howden
Zibanejad
Last 5: Howden 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
53.4% (770)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
46.2% (39)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
44.7% (141)
+3.6%
On power play, Howden has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Howden
Zibanejad
Home
47.7% (195)
49.0% (429)
Away
52.8% (233)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Howden
Zibanejad
P1
51.1%
53.0%
P2
52.6%
51.1%
P3
48.8%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | OT | 04:43 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |