Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 77.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 57.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Ryan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ryan
Zibanejad
Last 5: Ryan 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Ryan
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Ryan
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
54.0% (955)
+6.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
55.6% (243)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
35.0% (140)
+8.2%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zibanejad
Home
56.7% (254)
55.2% (656)
Away
55.0% (258)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Ryan
Zibanejad
P1
56.9%
56.3%
P2
51.7%
50.0%
P3
59.2%
51.2%
OT
0.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |