Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.3% vs Zibanejad 46.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 52.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Cozens
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Cozens
Zibanejad
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
1
Cozens
Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Cozens
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Cozens
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (187)
47.8% (667)
-3.4%
Power Play
85.7% (14)
51.4% (181)
+34.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
36.0% (186)
+64.0%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +64.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Cozens is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Cozens shoots right. Zibanejad is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zibanejad
Home
40.2% (87)
48.4% (529)
Away
53.0% (115)
44.2% (505)
By Period
Cozens
Zibanejad
P1
48.4%
46.2%
P2
46.2%
47.7%
P3
48.3%
44.8%
Final 5 min
46.0%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |