Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.9% vs Zibanejad 50.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 50.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Last 7: Jankowski 5-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
52.7% (938)
-3.2%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
49.3% (225)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
39.5% (124)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jankowski is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Jankowski shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Home
50.4% (399)
54.9% (594)
Away
47.2% (411)
47.3% (693)
By Period
Jankowski
Zibanejad
P1
49.4%
50.1%
P2
48.7%
49.0%
P3
48.7%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |