Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.0%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 88.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 87.6%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 53.2%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Zibanejad
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Zibanejad
Rantanen
Last 8: Zibanejad 3-5 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
3
Zibanejad
Rantanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Rantanen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Zibanejad
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
50.9% (334)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
43.7% (119)
+14.6%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Zibanejad shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Rantanen
Home
49.0% (681)
49.4% (241)
Away
49.9% (717)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Zibanejad
Rantanen
P1
49.9%
47.1%
P2
47.6%
46.7%
P3
51.1%
51.9%
OT
48.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 25, 2022 | OT | 01:52 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |