Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Rantanen 52.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 84.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 87.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Zibanejad
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Zibanejad
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Zibanejad
Rantanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Rantanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Zibanejad
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
55.3% (188)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
46.3% (67)
+7.2%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Rantanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Rantanen
Home
55.1% (501)
57.3% (143)
Away
49.2% (555)
47.3% (112)
By Period
Zibanejad
Rantanen
P1
57.5%
47.8%
P2
50.7%
56.8%
P3
47.9%
54.5%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |