Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Foligno 49.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Zibanejad
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zibanejad
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
49.0% (261)
+4.4%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
57.1% (42)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
47.1% (51)
-2.4%
On power play, Foligno has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Foligno
Home
49.0% (429)
48.9% (178)
Away
54.1% (521)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Zibanejad
Foligno
P1
53.0%
40.4%
P2
51.1%
55.8%
P3
51.0%
51.2%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |