Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 27-18 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 70.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 60.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Zibanejad
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
27
(45 meetings)
18
27
Zibanejad
Foligno
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
9
Zibanejad
Foligno
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
11
9
Zibanejad
Foligno
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
5
9
Zibanejad
Foligno
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
48.3% (2,810)
+2.6%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
52.3% (730)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
44.0% (455)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Zibanejad shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Foligno
Home
51.6% (7,566)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Zibanejad
Foligno
P1
50.4%
47.6%
P2
49.7%
50.4%
P3
49.8%
48.3%
OT
48.7%
29.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 5, 2019 | OT | 01:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 16:54 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |