Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Foligno 48.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 54.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 52.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Zibanejad
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zibanejad
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Zibanejad
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
48.7% (495)
+4.2%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
56.9% (65)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
43.8% (144)
+2.4%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Foligno
Home
55.1% (501)
49.6% (359)
Away
49.2% (555)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Zibanejad
Foligno
P1
57.5%
46.7%
P2
50.7%
52.7%
P3
47.9%
46.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |