Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.4% vs Foligno 48.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 57.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 53.0%
Neutral zone
Foligno 56.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Zibanejad
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Zibanejad
Foligno
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Zibanejad
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Zibanejad
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,073)
50.0% (152)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
41.2% (17)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (115)
0.0% (7)
+45.2%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Zibanejad shoots right. Foligno is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Foligno
Home
52.9% (682)
48.1% (77)
Away
47.8% (624)
46.5% (99)
By Period
Zibanejad
Foligno
P1
47.5%
43.1%
P2
52.8%
50.8%
P3
51.4%
48.9%
OT
45.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |