Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zibanejad wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 71.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 71.0%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Zibanejad
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
51.3% (904)
+2.1%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
49.8% (265)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
36.8% (57)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Zibanejad shoots right. Suzuki is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Home
49.0% (429)
50.6% (603)
Away
54.1% (521)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Zibanejad
Suzuki
P1
53.0%
52.3%
P2
51.1%
47.5%
P3
51.0%
51.1%
OT
60.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
56.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |