Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.3%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 44-37 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 64.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 63.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 54.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
44
(81 meetings)
37
44
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
19
Zibanejad
Suzuki
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
14
10
Zibanejad
Suzuki
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
18
15
Zibanejad
Suzuki
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
49.4% (6,327)
+1.5%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
50.7% (1,338)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
43.6% (456)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Zibanejad shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Home
51.6% (7,566)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Zibanejad
Suzuki
P1
50.4%
48.8%
P2
49.7%
49.1%
P3
49.8%
50.2%
OT
48.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |