Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.6%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 77.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 77.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
5
Zibanejad
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Zibanejad
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
52.4% (981)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
50.7% (304)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
36.4% (33)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Zibanejad shoots right. Suzuki is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Suzuki
Home
55.1% (501)
53.2% (645)
Away
49.2% (555)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Zibanejad
Suzuki
P1
57.5%
48.9%
P2
50.7%
51.5%
P3
47.9%
54.9%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |