Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.2%). Zibanejad wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Roy 51.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 65.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 63.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Zibanejad
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Zibanejad
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
51.9% (547)
+1.5%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
54.1% (37)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
53.3% (92)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Zibanejad shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Roy
Home
49.0% (429)
54.0% (328)
Away
54.1% (521)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Zibanejad
Roy
P1
53.0%
53.5%
P2
51.1%
51.6%
P3
51.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
56.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |