Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Roy 47.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Zibanejad
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zibanejad
Roy
Last 5: Zibanejad 2-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Zibanejad
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Zibanejad
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
47.5% (617)
+3.4%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
39.6% (53)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
46.4% (97)
-8.9%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Zibanejad shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Roy
Home
51.1% (536)
47.2% (398)
Away
47.6% (576)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Zibanejad
Roy
P1
50.1%
48.6%
P2
47.3%
48.8%
P3
50.7%
43.9%
OT
45.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |