Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Roy 48.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 55.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Zibanejad
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Zibanejad
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Zibanejad
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
49.5% (746)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
50.7% (75)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
42.7% (110)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Zibanejad shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Roy
Home
55.2% (656)
47.7% (491)
Away
49.6% (682)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Zibanejad
Roy
P1
56.3%
51.1%
P2
50.0%
44.6%
P3
51.2%
50.9%
OT
52.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |