Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Cates 40.4% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 89.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 84.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 88.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Zibanejad
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Zibanejad
Cates
Last 9: Zibanejad 8-1 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Zibanejad
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
0
Zibanejad
Cates
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
40.4% (841)
+9.7%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
42.4% (66)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
32.7% (147)
+9.2%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Zibanejad shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Cates
Home
49.0% (681)
38.2% (566)
Away
49.9% (717)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Zibanejad
Cates
P1
49.9%
40.5%
P2
47.6%
42.4%
P3
51.1%
35.3%
OT
48.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |