Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 35-32 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 75.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 66.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 67.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Zibanejad
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
32
(67 meetings)
35
32
Zibanejad
Stastny
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
14
7
Zibanejad
Stastny
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
14
13
Zibanejad
Stastny
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
12
Zibanejad
Stastny
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (11,540)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.2% (1,848)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (1,766)
52.9% (1,119)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,527).
Zibanejad shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Stastny
Home
51.6% (7,444)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.3% (7,711)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Zibanejad
Stastny
P1
50.4%
56.3%
P2
49.7%
55.4%
P3
49.8%
53.5%
OT
48.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |