Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Stastny 56.3% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 72.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 71.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Zibanejad
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zibanejad
Stastny
Last 5: Zibanejad 2-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Zibanejad
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Zibanejad
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
57.5% (412)
-7.4%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
60.0% (65)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
44.4% (9)
-2.5%
On even strength, Stastny has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Zibanejad shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Stastny
Home
49.0% (681)
58.3% (276)
Away
49.9% (717)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Zibanejad
Stastny
P1
49.9%
63.7%
P2
47.6%
57.3%
P3
51.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |