Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Zibanejad wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 70.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 79.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 90.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
Zibanejad
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Zibanejad
Stastny
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
7
1
Zibanejad
Stastny
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
2
Zibanejad
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (767)
55.4% (1,004)
-2.6%
Power Play
62.6% (107)
59.0% (210)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
28.9% (76)
54.1% (196)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Zibanejad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Zibanejad shoots right. Stastny is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Stastny
Home
51.0% (500)
56.5% (717)
Away
53.1% (450)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Zibanejad
Stastny
P1
54.2%
56.7%
P2
53.6%
57.7%
P3
49.0%
52.1%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |