Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.2% vs Stastny 54.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 69.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 73.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 67.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Zibanejad
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Zibanejad
Stastny
Last 9: Zibanejad 2-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Zibanejad
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Zibanejad
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (809)
53.6% (859)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.4% (204)
59.9% (202)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (191)
55.1% (78)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Zibanejad shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Stastny
Home
49.8% (588)
56.9% (596)
Away
48.5% (616)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Zibanejad
Stastny
P1
47.4%
53.9%
P2
50.7%
56.2%
P3
49.0%
54.4%
OT
55.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |