Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Greig 53.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 62.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 50.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Zibanejad
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Zibanejad
Greig
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
3
Zibanejad
Greig
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Zibanejad
Greig
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
3
Zibanejad
Greig
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
53.6% (280)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
61.3% (31)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
56.5% (69)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Greig is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Greig
Home
55.1% (501)
56.2% (185)
Away
49.2% (555)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Zibanejad
Greig
P1
57.5%
52.8%
P2
50.7%
51.6%
P3
47.9%
59.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |