Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Greig 48.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 54.6%
Defensive zone
Greig 75.6%
Neutral zone
Greig 60.3%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Zibanejad
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Zibanejad
Greig
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
3
4
Zibanejad
Greig
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Zibanejad
Greig
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
3
Zibanejad
Greig
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
48.5% (1,133)
+2.4%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
56.8% (74)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
46.5% (172)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Zibanejad shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Greig
Home
51.6% (7,566)
49.8% (681)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Zibanejad
Greig
P1
50.4%
46.3%
P2
49.7%
51.2%
P3
49.8%
48.8%
OT
48.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |