Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zibanejad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Nash 49.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 63.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 68.7%
Neutral zone
Nash 66.2%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Zibanejad
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Zibanejad
Nash
Last 8: Zibanejad 1-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Zibanejad
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Zibanejad
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Zibanejad
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (767)
50.9% (481)
+1.9%
Power Play
62.6% (107)
27.3% (11)
+35.3%
Penalty Kill
28.9% (76)
40.0% (70)
-11.1%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nash is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nash
Home
51.0% (500)
46.5% (282)
Away
53.1% (450)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nash
P1
54.2%
48.5%
P2
53.6%
47.3%
P3
49.0%
51.0%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Riley Nash |