Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.1%). Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Nash 51.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 71.3%
Defensive zone
Nash 74.8%
Neutral zone
Nash 54.0%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Zibanejad
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zibanejad
Nash
Last 5: Zibanejad 2-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Zibanejad
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Zibanejad
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
54.1% (292)
-0.1%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
57.1% (7)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
45.9% (98)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nash
Home
55.2% (656)
56.3% (183)
Away
49.6% (682)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nash
P1
56.3%
58.9%
P2
50.0%
51.0%
P3
51.2%
46.5%
OT
52.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Riley Nash |