Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Nash 48.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 24-20 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 50.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 64.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 58.1%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Zibanejad
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
24
(44 meetings)
20
24
Zibanejad
Nash
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Zibanejad
Nash
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
8
10
Zibanejad
Nash
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
4
Zibanejad
Nash
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
48.7% (4,621)
+2.2%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
51.0% (249)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
44.9% (550)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nash
Home
51.6% (7,566)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nash
P1
50.4%
49.0%
P2
49.7%
47.9%
P3
49.8%
48.0%
OT
48.7%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |