Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.2%). Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Colton 51.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 53.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.5%
Neutral zone
Colton 51.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Zibanejad
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Zibanejad
Colton
Last 5: Zibanejad 4-1 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
52.7% (524)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
50.9% (53)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
0.0% (4)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Colton is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Colton
Home
55.2% (656)
52.9% (291)
Away
49.6% (682)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Zibanejad
Colton
P1
56.3%
50.6%
P2
50.0%
54.4%
P3
51.2%
51.6%
OT
52.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |