Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Colton 51.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 50.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 51.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 50.5%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Zibanejad
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Zibanejad
Colton
Last 9: Zibanejad 6-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (11,540)
51.6% (1,788)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.2% (1,848)
48.4% (159)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (1,766)
34.5% (29)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,527).
Zibanejad shoots right. Colton is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Colton
Home
51.6% (7,444)
51.9% (1,004)
Away
48.3% (7,711)
50.2% (972)
By Period
Zibanejad
Colton
P1
50.4%
53.3%
P2
49.7%
52.6%
P3
49.8%
47.9%
OT
48.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |