Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Colton 51.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 51.4%
Defensive zone
Colton 51.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Zibanejad
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Zibanejad
Colton
Last 9: Zibanejad 6-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
51.6% (1,800)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
48.8% (162)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
34.5% (29)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Zibanejad shoots right. Colton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Colton
Home
51.6% (7,566)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Zibanejad
Colton
P1
50.4%
53.5%
P2
49.7%
52.6%
P3
49.8%
47.9%
OT
48.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |