Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.3%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs McLeod 52.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 51.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Zibanejad
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Zibanejad
McLeod
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
5
Zibanejad
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
52.9% (904)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
57.6% (59)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
49.0% (241)
-2.8%
On power play, McLeod has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
McLeod
Home
55.1% (501)
51.8% (612)
Away
49.2% (555)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Zibanejad
McLeod
P1
57.5%
55.4%
P2
50.7%
50.8%
P3
47.9%
51.6%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |