Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.6%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs McLeod 49.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Zibanejad
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Zibanejad
McLeod
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
3
Zibanejad
McLeod
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
6
Zibanejad
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
1
Zibanejad
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
50.4% (3,345)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
51.0% (292)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
44.3% (635)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Zibanejad shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
McLeod
Home
51.6% (7,566)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Zibanejad
McLeod
P1
50.4%
50.8%
P2
49.7%
48.4%
P3
49.8%
50.0%
OT
48.7%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |