Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Carrick 52.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 71.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 74.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 58.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Zibanejad
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Zibanejad
Carrick
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
2
Zibanejad
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
4
Zibanejad
Carrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
2
Zibanejad
Carrick
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
52.1% (2,513)
-1.2%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
61.3% (75)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
50.7% (430)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Zibanejad shoots right. Carrick is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Carrick
Home
51.6% (7,566)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Zibanejad
Carrick
P1
50.4%
51.8%
P2
49.7%
52.2%
P3
49.8%
52.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |