Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Carrick 53.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 81.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 52.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 66.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Zibanejad
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Zibanejad
Carrick
Last 7: Zibanejad 2-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Zibanejad
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
53.9% (521)
-3.0%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
57.1% (35)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
51.5% (229)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Zibanejad shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Carrick
Home
51.1% (536)
52.7% (408)
Away
47.6% (576)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Zibanejad
Carrick
P1
50.1%
51.4%
P2
47.3%
56.6%
P3
50.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |