Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Zibanejad wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Carrick 53.8% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 68.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 63.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Zibanejad
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
55.1% (439)
-1.7%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
66.7% (3)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
49.1% (53)
-4.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Zibanejad shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Carrick
Home
49.0% (429)
58.2% (225)
Away
54.1% (521)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Zibanejad
Carrick
P1
53.0%
56.7%
P2
51.1%
52.8%
P3
51.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%