Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.2% vs Carrick 48.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 60.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 50.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Zibanejad
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Zibanejad
Carrick
Last 8: Zibanejad 6-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (809)
46.7% (60)
+2.2%
Power Play
53.4% (204)
42.9% (7)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (191)
40.0% (5)
+5.5%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Zibanejad shoots right. Carrick is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Carrick
Home
49.8% (588)
46.2% (13)
Away
48.5% (616)
45.8% (59)
By Period
Zibanejad
Carrick
P1
47.4%
52.6%
P2
50.7%
45.8%
P3
49.0%
41.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
12.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |