Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zibanejad wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 46.9% vs Couturier 47.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 86.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 57.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Zibanejad
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Zibanejad
Couturier
Last 5: Zibanejad 4-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (334)
48.5% (1,067)
+0.3%
Power Play
36.4% (55)
51.0% (51)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (8)
43.4% (235)
-43.4%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Zibanejad is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Zibanejad shoots right. Couturier is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (497).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Couturier
Home
47.3% (203)
49.4% (620)
Away
44.8% (194)
46.4% (733)
By Period
Zibanejad
Couturier
P1
44.8%
47.1%
P2
44.8%
50.4%
P3
49.5%
45.5%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2013 | OT | 02:18 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 9, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |