Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Couturier 55.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 52.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 67.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 59.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Zibanejad
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Zibanejad
Couturier
Last 6: Zibanejad 2-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
4
Zibanejad
Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
5
Zibanejad
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
55.1% (1,008)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
64.1% (142)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
53.3% (45)
-7.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Couturier
Home
55.1% (501)
58.1% (609)
Away
49.2% (555)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Zibanejad
Couturier
P1
57.5%
55.3%
P2
50.7%
55.8%
P3
47.9%
57.4%
OT
66.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |