Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Couturier 53.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 65.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Zibanejad
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Zibanejad
Couturier
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
1
Zibanejad
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
5
Zibanejad
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
53.4% (758)
+0.0%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
62.9% (70)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
50.7% (227)
-6.0%
On power play, Couturier has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Couturier
Home
49.0% (429)
50.7% (517)
Away
54.1% (521)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Zibanejad
Couturier
P1
53.0%
55.2%
P2
51.1%
53.0%
P3
51.0%
53.3%
OT
60.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:42 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |