Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zibanejad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Stamkos 52.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 55.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Last 6: Zibanejad 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Zibanejad
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Zibanejad
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (767)
54.7% (179)
-1.9%
Power Play
62.6% (107)
50.0% (4)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
28.9% (76)
40.0% (15)
-11.1%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Zibanejad shoots right. Stamkos is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Home
51.0% (500)
57.4% (108)
Away
53.1% (450)
48.9% (90)
By Period
Zibanejad
Stamkos
P1
54.2%
53.4%
P2
53.6%
51.7%
P3
49.0%
55.6%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |