Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 54.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 58.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Last 7: Zibanejad 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Zibanejad
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Zibanejad
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
49.3% (789)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
56.9% (181)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
54.1% (98)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Zibanejad shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Home
55.2% (656)
52.0% (512)
Away
49.6% (682)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Zibanejad
Stamkos
P1
56.3%
42.1%
P2
50.0%
56.4%
P3
51.2%
53.7%
OT
52.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 13:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |