Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.7% vs Gourde 45.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 61.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Zibanejad
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Zibanejad
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Zibanejad
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (591)
47.1% (463)
+6.7%
Power Play
47.4% (38)
36.4% (11)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (117)
29.9% (67)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gourde is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gourde
Home
48.2% (307)
42.3% (215)
Away
54.4% (439)
46.3% (326)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gourde
P1
54.0%
44.8%
P2
51.0%
49.1%
P3
50.6%
40.1%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |