Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Gourde 49.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 71.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 57.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Zibanejad
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Zibanejad
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
49.1% (731)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
54.3% (81)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
48.2% (85)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gourde
Home
55.2% (656)
50.9% (479)
Away
49.6% (682)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gourde
P1
56.3%
51.2%
P2
50.0%
49.8%
P3
51.2%
47.5%
OT
52.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |