Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 53.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 60.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Zibanejad
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Zibanejad
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Zibanejad
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
47.2% (654)
+6.2%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
45.0% (20)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
32.2% (87)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gourde
Home
49.0% (429)
44.1% (322)
Away
54.1% (521)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gourde
P1
53.0%
42.4%
P2
51.1%
49.8%
P3
51.0%
44.3%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |