Alexander Kerfoot vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Backlund 50.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 75.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 60.2%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Kerfoot
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Kerfoot
Backlund
Last 10: Kerfoot 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
4
1
Kerfoot
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
6
Kerfoot
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
6
Kerfoot
Backlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
51.0% (1,205)
-0.6%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
59.3% (108)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
42.3% (234)
-3.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Backlund
Home
51.4% (467)
51.2% (782)
Away
43.5% (395)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Kerfoot
Backlund
P1
49.1%
51.5%
P2
42.4%
49.8%
P3
52.7%
49.9%
OT
25.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |